Nuclear Testing and Nonproliferation

The role of seismology in deterring the development of nuclear weapons

Table of Contents

Acknowledgments
Preface
I.  The Relationship Between a CTBT and Proliferation
	Effect of a Test Ban on Developing Nuclear Weapons
	Effect of a Test Ban on Strengthening the NPT Regime
II.  Developing a Monitoring Strategy.
	Lessons from the Past
	The New Challenge
	Detecting and Identifying Seismic Events
	Rethinking the Problem
	Challenging Past Assumptions
	Overall Assessment for Clandestine Testing
	Developing a New Solution
III.  Developing a Monitoring System
	The Change in Technical Requirements
	Types of Seismic Stations
	Existing Networks and Arrays
	The Analogy with Earthquake Monitoring
IV.  An Illustration of the New Challenge
	An Inquiry from Pakistan
V.   Assessing Monitoring Requirements
	Down to What Magnitude Level Should We Monitor?
	How Should We Evaluate Monitoring Requirements and Capability?
	Arrays or Single Stations
	What are the Roles of Open Seismic Stations?
	How Can Monitoring be Best Accomplished?
VI.  Summary and Recommendations
	Seismology´s Role in Deterring Proliferation
	Developing a New Solution
	Capabilities of Seismic Monitoring
	Recommended Structure for Monitoring a CTBT
Appendix:  Letters of Request